Gambling content 21+. The New York Post may receive an affiliate commi sion if you sign up through our links. Read our for more information. The Mets caught fire for a quick stretch but have quickly cooled off, losing five of their past seven games. However, I wouldnt be surprised to see behind starting pitcher Luis Severino, who looks rejuvenated this year. And Im willing to put my money where my mouth is. Cubs vs. Mets odds Team Run line Moneyline Total Cubs +1.5 (-175) +124 o7 (-122) Mets -1.5 (+145) -148 u7 (+102) (Odds via DraftKings) Explore More Cubs vs. Mets prediction (7:10 p.m. ET, SNY) Following a career-worst season with the Yankees in 2023 (6.65 ERA acro s 90 innings), Hes pitched at least five innings in every appearance with a 2.67 ERA. Severinos improvements have come from an adjusted pitch mix. Hes added a sinker and a sweeper, which have driven a considerable increase in his ground-ball rate (42% in 2023, 58% in 2024). Meanwhile, his slightly moderated fastball usage has helped him avoid the four-seam disaster that was his 2023. Opponents slugged .692 on the pitch last season, but that number is down to .267. We should expect some negative regre sion for Severino, whose expected ERA is 3.60. Still, the early results are encouraging. James Taillon starts for the Cubs on Monday. Getty Images And Cubs starting pitcher Jameson Taillon is due for much more negative regre sion. Taillons 1. Malik Beasley Jersey 69 ERA is buoyed by a low .273 BABIP and an uber-high 85% strand rate. Once those numbers regre s toward MLB averages (.300 and 70%), Taillons ERA should regre s closer to his expected FIP (4.23). The Cubs likely boast the better lineup, but much of their succe s has been against left-handed pitching (136 wRC+, second in MLB). Against right-handed pitchers, the Mets have surprisingly been the slightly better lineup by wRC+ (102 to 96) and wOBA (.313 to .309). Of greater importance, , ranking second among relief staffs in FIP (2.90) and WAR (1.9). Edwin Diazs (0.93 ERA, four saves) return has helped, but breakout campaigns from Reed Garrett (0.61 ERA), Jorge Lopez (1.35 ERA) and Jake Diekman (3.86 ERA) have made the unit deep and impenetrable. Learn all you need to know about MLB Betting Read about the Learn all about Meanwhile, the Cubs sport a 4.68 relief ERA and a -0.4 relief WAR, both bottom-10 marks among relief corps. The Mets should have a considerable advantage in the later innings Monday. Finally, I always like fading teams directly after playing on Sunday Night Baseball. The Cubs played an uncharacteristic Sunday night game in Boston and then traveled overnight to Queens to prepare for this Monday night battle. Its a weird situational spot that doesnt occur often, and I usually see the bats are a bit slower following this unique turnaround. Therefore, Ill be betting on the Mets, who I believe have significant pitching, hitting and rest advantages Monday night at Citi Field. Cubs vs. Mets pick Mets ML(-148, ) Michael Porter Jr. Jersey